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Article |

Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Among Children 6 to 59 Months of Age During 2 Influenza Seasons:  A Case-Cohort Study FREE

Peter G. Szilagyi, MD, MPH; Gerry Fairbrother, PhD; Marie R. Griffin, MD, MPH; Richard W. Hornung, DrPH; Stephanie Donauer, MS; Ardythe Morrow, PhD; Mekibib Altaye, PhD; Yuwei Zhu, MD, MS; Sandra Ambrose, MBA; Kathryn M. Edwards, MD; Katherine A. Poehling, MD, MPH; Geraldine Lofthus, PhD; Michol Holloway, MPH; Lyn Finelli, DrPH, MS; Marika Iwane, PhD, MPH; Mary Allen Staat, MD, MPH ; New Vaccine Surveillance Network
[+] Author Affiliations

Author Affiliations: Department of Pediatrics, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, New York (Drs Szilagyi and Lofthus and Ms Ambrose); Center for Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Drs Fairbrother, Hornung, Morrow, and Altaye and Ms Donauer) and Division of Infectious Diseases (Dr Staat), Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, Ohio; Departments of Preventive Medicine (Dr Griffin and Mr Holloway), Medicine (Dr Griffin), Biostatistics (Dr Zhu), and Pediatric Clinical Research Office (Dr Edwards), Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee; Department of Pediatrics, Wake Forest University Medical Center, Winston-Salem, North Carolina (Dr Poehling); and the National Immunization Program, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia (Drs Finelli and Iwane).Group Information: A list of New Vaccine Surveillance Network partners appears at http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/stats-surv/nvsn/default.htm.


Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2008;162(10):943-951. doi:10.1001/archpedi.162.10.943.
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Published online

Objective  To measure vaccine effectiveness (VE) in preventing influenza-related health care visits among children aged 6 to 59 months during 2 consecutive influenza seasons.

Design  Case-cohort study estimating effectiveness of inactivated influenza vaccine in preventing inpatient/outpatient visits (emergency department [ED] and outpatient clinic). We compared vaccination status of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases with a cluster sample of children from a random sample of practices in 3 counties (subcohort) during the 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 seasons.

Setting  Counties encompassing Rochester, New York, Nashville, Tennessee, and Cincinnati, Ohio.

Participants  Children aged 6 to 59 months seen in inpatient/ED or outpatient clinic settings for acute respiratory illnesses and community-based subcohort comparison.

Main Exposure  Influenza vaccination.

Main Outcome Measures  Influenza vaccination status of cases vs subcohort using time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models to estimate VE in preventing inpatient/ED and outpatient visits.

Results  During the 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 seasons, 165 and 80 inpatient/ED and 74 and 95 outpatient influenza cases were enrolled, while more than 4500 inpatient/ED and more than 600 outpatient subcohorts were evaluated, respectively. In bivariate analyses, cases had lower vaccination rates than subcohorts. However, significant influenza VE could not be demonstrated for any season, age, or setting after adjusting for county, sex, insurance, chronic conditions recommended for influenza vaccination, and timing of influenza vaccination (VE estimates ranged from 7%-52% across settings and seasons for fully vaccinated 6- to 59-month-olds).

Conclusion  In 2 seasons with suboptimal antigenic match between vaccines and circulating strains, we could not demonstrate VE in preventing influenza-related inpatient/ED or outpatient visits in children younger than 5 years. Further study is needed during years with good vaccine match.

Figures in this Article

The United States and several other countries have expanded their childhood influenza vaccination recommendations in response to evidence that influenza disease causes substantial morbidity among young children. Analyses of insurance claims14 and population-based studies of laboratory-confirmed disease5,6 have documented high rates of hospitalizations and emergency department (ED) and outpatient health care visits attributable to influenza disease among young children. In 2004, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended annual influenza vaccination for all children aged 6 to 23 months.7 In June 2006, this vaccination recommendation was expanded to include all children aged 6 to 59 months.8

An inherent assumption of expanded vaccination recommendations is that the vaccine is efficacious in preventing clinical influenza disease. Although studies have documented immune responses following 2 doses of inactivated influenza vaccine912 as well as vaccine efficacy for culture-confirmed disease in randomized clinical trials, surprisingly little information exists regarding influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) among young children receiving vaccine in routine health care settings.13,14 One reason for this void is that until recently, childhood influenza vaccination has been recommended only for children with chronic conditions and their close contacts, and even so, few eligible individuals have been vaccinated.15,16 Recent recommendations for the vaccination of all children aged 6 to 59 months have made the study of VE in the general pediatric population both relevant and timely.

One major challenge in assessing VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza disease has been that many earlier studies have not used laboratory-confirmed outcomes. Several studies estimated influenza VE against influenzalike illness (ILI) by comparing rates of ILI among vaccinated vs unvaccinated or partially vaccinated children. Studies assessing ILI are inherently compromised by diagnostic uncertainty since the clinical manifestations of influenza disease are similar to those caused by other circulating respiratory pathogens and would lead to underestimates of VE. However, some studies have noted substantial VE against ILI.1720 During the 2003-2004 influenza season, Ritzwoller et al18 estimated VE to be 49% in outpatient/ED settings for pneumonia- and influenza-coded medical visits among fully vaccinated children aged 6 to 23 months. In the same influenza season, a case-control study in 1 primary care practice compared laboratory-confirmed influenza-positive cases with age-matched controls from the same practice and reported a 52% VE in reducing outpatient visits for influenza among fully vaccinated children aged 6 to 23 months.21

The inherent difficulties in measuring influenza VE in children highlight the importance of assessing VE using several different study methods and comparing the results of these different types of studies. The objective of our study was to use a case-cohort study method, which selects control subjects who are representative of the general population for comparison with cases, to measure the effectiveness of trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine in preventing laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated medical visits. We assessed the VE for children aged 6 to 59 months who were hospitalized or had an ED visit and those who had outpatient primary care visits in 3 US counties during 2 consecutive influenza seasons. Evaluating VE for multiple influenza seasons is important because both the severity of the influenza seasons and the match between the vaccine and the circulating strain can be quite variable. We hypothesized that fully vaccinated children would have lower rates of influenza-related inpatient/ED and outpatient visits than unvaccinated or partially vaccinated children.

The study was approved by the institutional review boards of the University of Rochester, Vanderbilt University, Cincinnati Children's Hospital, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

STUDY SETTING

The study was conducted in 3 counties: Monroe County, New York, with a total population of approximately 750 000 (11 000 births per year), including the city of Rochester; Davidson County, Tennessee (595 000 people; 8000 births per year), including the city of Nashville; and Hamilton County (800 000 people; 12 000 births per year), including the city of Cincinnati. This study was part of the New Vaccine Surveillance Network,22 which was established in 1999 by the CDC to perform active surveillance for common respiratory viral infections in young children5,6 and to assess the impact of new vaccine recommendations on disease outcome.2327

STUDY DESIGN

We used a case-cohort design,2830 in which we compared the influenza vaccination status of influenza-positive cases identified by active surveillance with the influenza vaccination status of a randomly selected cohort (more precisely termed a subcohort) from the same population that yielded the cases (Figure). Vaccine effectiveness was evaluated separately for each season (2003-2004, 2004-2005), age group (6-23 months, 24-59 months, and 6-59 months), and health care setting (inpatient/ED, outpatient primary care). We estimated VE by comparing the vaccination status of cases with the subcohort vaccination status at the time the case developed influenza. The sampling frame for inpatient/ED visits was the county since surveillance was population based at the county level. The sampling frame for outpatient visits was a set of primary care practices where practicewide influenza disease surveillance was being conducted.

Place holder to copy figure label and caption
Figure.

Study design. Method for identifying cases and subcohort controls. *The same primary care practices were used for cases and subcohort within each county and year. ED indicates emergency department; ARI, acute respiratory illness.

Graphic Jump Location
IDENTIFICATION OF INFLUENZA-POSITIVE CASES AND CONTROLS (SUBCOHORT)
Inpatient/ED Cases

These children resided in the 3 counties and had laboratory-confirmed influenza-related hospitalizations (at hospitals serving >95% of county children) or ED visits. During the 2003-2004 season, we systematically sampled from 1 of 2 pediatric EDs in Rochester (60% of county pediatric ED visits), 1 pediatric ED in Nashville (30%), and the single pediatric ED in Cincinnati (>95%). During the 2004-2005 season, we sampled from both pediatric EDs in Rochester (>95%) and the pediatric ED in Cincinnati.

Study nurses identified county children hospitalized (enrolled Monday-Thursday in 2003-2004 and 7 days/week in 2004-2005) during the prior 48 hours with acute respiratory illness (ARI) or fever. After obtaining informed consent, we gathered demographic, medical, and social histories using a standardized instrument and nasal/throat specimens for laboratory examination.6 For ED cases, we enrolled children either 3 or 4 days/week or every fourth day, varying surveillance systematically across days and ED shifts. In Cincinnati, approximately one-third of the cases in 2004-2005 were from another study that had the same enrollment criteria yielding cases with the same demographic characteristics (results available on request).31 Participation rates were high for both seasons: in 2003-2004, only 5.3% (inpatient) and 10.9% (ED) of parents refused participation, and in 2004-2008, only 8.0% and 3.1% refused.

Outpatient Cases

During the same 2 influenza seasons, we conducted an analogous, prospective study of laboratory-confirmed influenza-related outpatient visits among county children (aged 6-23 months or 24-59 months) presenting to selected primary care practices within the 3 counties: 1 practice in Cincinnati (2003-2004 season), 3 practices in Nashville for both seasons, and 4 practices (2003-2004) or 6 practices (2004-2005) in Rochester. Study personnel enrolled children 1 or 2 days/week, varying enrollment days systematically throughout the week to obtain a representative sampling of days and shifts.6 Participation rates were high, with only 11% of parents refusing during each season.

Laboratory Specimens

Nasal and throat swabs from each enrolled child were collected and tested as described previously.5,6,30,32 Viruses were identified by viral culture or reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction.31 A specimen was influenza positive if viral culture or 2 reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction assays were positive for influenza A or B. Comparison studies across the 3 laboratories (with the CDC laboratory as reference) showed excellent reliability in identification of influenza. Subtyping was performed for a subset of cases.

Identification of Subcohort

For the inpatient/ED, the subcohort comprised a representative sample of age-stratified children (aged 6-23 months or 24-59 months) from primary care practices within the same counties. We used a probability proportional to size sampling of primary care practices and excluded practices with fewer than 30 newborns per year, which together accounted for less than 5% of the county birth cohorts. Within practices, we randomly selected 1 to 8 clusters of 30 children per age group from patient lists33 to achieve a desired total of 1800 children per county per season. This sampling method resulted in 16 practices in Rochester (17 selected, 1 declined), 13 in Nashville (14 selected, 1 declined), and 23 in Cincinnati (39 selected, 16 declined). We reviewed medical records for outcomes. The 16 Cincinnati practices that declined did not differ from the 39 selected practices in practice characteristics, including geographic location (urban/suburban/rural), size (number of physicians), and type (private, hospital clinic, neighborhood health center, or staff model health maintenance organization). For the outpatient component, we randomly selected the subcohort from the same primary care practices that participated in outpatient ARI surveillance for influenza cases, using the procedures described earlier.

DETERMINATION OF INFLUENZA VACCINATION STATUS

Trained medical record abstractors performed medical record reviews for demographic information, vaccination dates, and the dates and types of health care visits on a standardized medical record abstraction form using methods previously standardized across counties.34 We reviewed medical records for both the relevant year and prior years to determine prior vaccinations and the need for 1 or 2 vaccinations during the relevant year.

Children were defined as fully vaccinated if they received: (1) 2 vaccine doses in an influenza season, more than 24 days apart, with the second dose more than 14 days before ARI onset or (2) more than 1 vaccine dose in a prior influenza seasons (priming7,8) and 1 dose in the current season more than 14 days before ARI onset. Children were partially vaccinated if they received (1) only 1 of 2 recommended doses during the current season more than 14 days before ARI onset or (2) 2 doses during the current season, with the second dose less than 24 days after the first or within 14 days of ARI onset. All other children were unvaccinated.

VARIABLES
Dependent Variables

The primary dependent variable was influenza case status, case or subcohort control. We sampled without replacement so that subcohort children could be selected for both seasons but not twice within the same season. The key outcome measure was VE.

Independent Variables

For cases, a child's influenza vaccination status at the time of the ARI visit was determined by medical record review at the child's primary care practice. Vaccination cards were rarely available, but if so, influenza vaccination dates were recorded and used. For the subcohort, influenza vaccination status was determined by medical record review.

Covariates included sex, insurance status (private vs public/none), and presence of risk factors, chronic conditions documented in medical records for which influenza vaccine is recommended35 (Table 1). Race/ethnicity was not a covariate because it was unobtainable for 60% of the subcohort by medical record review.

Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 1. Demographic Characteristics of Subjects for Seasons 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 Combineda
STATISTICAL ANALYSES
Sample Size Estimates

Inpatient and ED cases were combined a priori into 1 group because they were population based and to increase the number of cases of more severe influenza disease. Based on anticipated influenza vaccination rates of 10% to 30%, and design effects from the cluster sampling of 1.5 to 2.0, we determined the need for 44 to 250 inpatient/ED cases (per season and age group) to estimate a VE of 50% to 70%, assuming 900 subcohort children per age group per year per county. Using similar assumptions, we estimated the need for 33 outpatient cases, with 360 outpatient subcohort children per year per age group.

Analyses

Bivariate analysis of demographics and overall influenza vaccination status at the end of the influenza season used χ2 analyses to compare cases with subcohort subjects. The primary analysis used a Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates. A time-dependent variable for vaccination status (complete, partial, and unvaccinated) was evaluated to assess the vaccination status of the subcohort when the case actually developed influenza as opposed to evaluating the vaccination status of the subcohort at the end of the season. Each subject entered the analysis at the beginning of the influenza season, with the time dimension measured as the number of days from the beginning of the influenza season until influenza illness onset or the end of the season, whichever came first. Vaccination was considered as a time-dependent covariate because vaccinations occurred before and during influenza seasons.

The VE was calculated for 2 settings (inpatient/ED and outpatient) and 3 age groups (6-23, 24-59, and 6-59 months) as well as 2 influenza seasons (2003-2004 and 2004-2005). We combined data across the 3 communities by fitting a stratified Cox model with study site as the strata. We included sex, insurance status, and high-risk condition (Table 1) as potential covariates based on prior studies. For the primary analysis, influenza VE was estimated as percentage of VE = (1 − aHRR) × 100, where aHRR is the adjusted hazard rate ratio for influenza in fully or partially vaccinated subjects relative to unvaccinated subjects. We calculated 95% confidence intervals around VE.

Because in a case-cohort design, some subcohort subjects might have had influenza-related visits but were not enrolled in the study, we used a pseudo-likelihood method instead of the usual partial likelihood function to estimate the coefficients.30,36 Because of intracluster correlation inherent to the cluster sampling design, we computed robust design-based variance estimators.37 In addition, because of complexities in estimating standard errors for Cox regression coefficients in a case-cohort design using cluster sampling, we also used bootstrap sampling methods for comparison with the Cox regression results38; findings were similar to the Cox regression results and are not reported (but are available on request).

DEMOGRAPHICS

Table 1 shows demographic characteristics of the cases and subcohort for both seasons combined since characteristics did not vary between the seasons. For the inpatient/ED study, cases were more likely than subcohort subjects to be younger and male, have public or no insurance, and have a high-risk condition recommended for influenza vaccination. We adjusted for these variables in the analyses.

VACCINATION STATUS OF CASES AND SUBCOHORT

Table 2 shows results of bivariate comparisons of the influenza vaccination status for cases vs the subcohort for the inpatient/ED and outpatient components of the study during each season. Although a higher proportion of the subcohort than the cases received vaccinations in all age groups, this reached statistical significance only for the inpatient/ED study in 3 age groups: children aged 6 to 59 months in both years and children aged 6 to 23 months in the 2004-2005 season.

Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 2. Influenza Vaccination Status for Children During Seasons 2003-2004 and 2004-2005a
VACCINE EFFECTIVENESS
Inpatient/ED Visits

Table 3 displays the time-dependent adjusted hazard ratios and the estimated influenza VE during each season by age groups. For the 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 seasons, no statistically significant VE was noted for either fully or partially vaccinated children. As Table 3 shows, the small number of cases in each age group resulted in wide confidence intervals around all VE calculations. During both seasons, children who had high-risk chronic conditions and those who had public insurance or no insurance were more likely to have inpatient/ED visits than their counterparts.

Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 3. Inpatient/ED: VE Using Multivariate Cox Regression to Estimate Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza-Related Visits by Vaccination Status, Age Group, and Influenza Seasona
Outpatient Visits

No significant VE in the outpatient setting was observed for any age group for either season (Table 4). Although the VE appeared appreciable for several age groups, particularly in 2003-2004, the small number of cases resulted in wide confidence intervals and, thus, no statistically significant findings.

Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 4. Outpatient: VE Using Multivariate Cox Regression to Estimate Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza-Related Visits by Vaccination Status, Age Group, and Influenza Seasona

Although on bivariate analyses the subcohort had consistently higher vaccination rates than the cases for most age strata, after adjustment for covariates, we could not demonstrate statistically significant VE for the 6 to 23 month, 24 to 59 month, or the entire 6 to 59 month age groups in either season.

Although randomized clinical trials and several studies in the general population have shown positive VE, several limitations in prior studies and our current study likely account for these differences. One major limitation in prior studies has involved the use of nonspecific end points (ILI) instead of laboratory-confirmed influenza. Others include a focus on one type of health care setting, such as inpatient care, and assessment of VE for a single season only. Further, VE can vary in different populations by age and presence of a high-risk chronic condition recommended for influenza vaccination, in addition to season and type of setting.

Our study design attempted to address several of these methodological concerns; we chose cases with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection and studied different age groups attending multiple types of health care settings and across 2 consecutive seasons. Further, we hoped that the case-cohort design with the use of an approximate random sample for the comparison group would reduce overall bias and increase generalizability of the findings.

Nevertheless, several factors contributed to the difficulty in demonstrating a positive VE in our study and to different findings from results of clinical trials. These factors included a relatively poor vaccine match for both study years; relatively small sample sizes for influenza-positive cases within each stratum evaluated, particularly when each stratum was further divided into fully, partially, and unvaccinated groups; and low vaccination rates overall. While any single factor would present a methodological challenge to demonstrating VE, the combination of factors made it extremely difficult to demonstrate statistically significant VE.

SUBOPTIMAL MATCH BETWEEN VACCINE AND CIRCULATING INFLUENZA STRAINS

During the 2003-2004 season, 99% of circulating strains in these 3 communities were due to influenza A virus, but only 11% of influenza A specimens across the United States were similar to a strain included in the vaccine.39 The 2004-2005 season was less severe and the vaccine was a better match to circulating strains than in 2003-2004, but still only 36% of virus isolates were antigenically similar to vaccine strains.40 Characterization of a limited number of isolates from the 3 study counties supported the overall US data regarding seasonal and vaccine strains. Thus, the lack of demonstrable VE in our study may have been due to the suboptimal match between influenza strains in the virus and strains circulating in the 3 communities. Interestingly, a recent study in 2004-2005 noted positive VE in adults for inactivated influenza vaccine even though all of the isolates were drifted variants.41 It is possible that the vaccine has less effectiveness among children. Although vaccines with better matches to circulating influenza strains are clearly needed, it is extremely challenging to predict which influenza strains will circulate and not possible to predict geographic variability in circulating strains.

SAMPLE SIZES

Despite active surveillance with a large population base of more than 150 000 children younger than 5 years, and identification of more than 400 laboratory-confirmed influenza-positive cases, our sample sizes were still limited in several ways. First, it is difficult to demonstrate VE during a mild influenza season because relatively few excess health care visits are generated by influenza-related illnesses. The 2003-2004 season began early, and following a number of well-publicized pediatric deaths early in the season, was a moderate to severe season in several regions in the United States. In Nashville, the season was more severe, with many inpatient/ED cases, but in Rochester it was mild, with few inpatient or ED cases. The 2004-2005 season was a mild one at both sites, with no excess mortality in adults demonstrated.40,42

Second, since we believed VE might vary by season, age group, and presence of a high-risk chronic condition recommended for vaccination, we calculated VE for individual strata, which further placed a sample size constraint on our study. Third, the power to detect a significant VE is poor when vaccination coverage in the population is low, as it was in our study. A particularly challenging problem for VE studies that are performed prior to full vaccine recommendation is that low vaccination coverage will limit the power to detect VE at the same time that policy makers would like a demonstrable VE prior to making more widespread recommendations. Finally, smaller sample sizes are needed to demonstrate higher VE; for VE of less than 50%, large sample sizes are needed.

PROPENSITY TO SEEK HEALTHCARE

Another methodological challenge in many studies, including ours, is that the threshold to seek medical care may differ among families who bring their child in for vaccination compared with those who do not.43 This higher propensity to seek health care among vaccinated individuals would tend to reduce the VE in studies such as ours that use the general population as controls, and case-cohort study designs may be particularly susceptible to this bias. Studies using case-control designs that select controls in the same manner as cases would not be affected by this factor. In a separate analysis of VE using this population, we found a case-control design that selected controls from noninfluenza ARI enrollees from the same setting that yielded comparison groups that were demographically more similar.44

INACTIVATED VACCINE

We evaluated VE for trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine and not for live-attenuated vaccine, which has been recently shown in young children to be more efficacious than inactivated vaccine.4547

ADJUSTING FOR CONFOUNDERS

We found on bivariate analyses that in almost every age group and setting, and for both seasons, cases had lower vaccination coverage than did the subcohort controls (Table 2), suggesting that we might observe a positive VE when we performed the more accurate adjusted analyses. Yet we could not demonstrate significant VE after we adjusted for confounders using a time-dependent multivariable analysis. This discrepancy was due to several factors. First, since children in the subcohort were on average vaccinated later than cases by 12 days, the crude vaccination rate exaggerated the differences between cases and controls, while the multivariate model considered the timing of vaccination, some of which occurred during the influenza season. Adjusting for vaccination timing did not affect results for cases or subcohort controls who were vaccinated prior to the influenza season.

In addition, children with public or no insurance were more likely to be cases and less likely to be vaccinated. The multivariable model adjusted for these differences. Finally, we adjusted for potential differences across counties by stratifying the analyses by geographic site. Geographic variations in VE could theoretically occur from different circulating virus strains in different counties and also from geographic variations in the threshold for hospitalizations, ED visits, or outpatient visits. Although we have previously noted that the 3 counties combined had vaccination rates similar to US rates32 and health care use patterns that are also similar to national rates (P.G.S. and R. Barth, BA, unpublished data, June 2006),48,49 we have also observed variations across the 3 counties in inpatient, ED, and outpatient burden of influenza disease.5,6 Thus, we adjusted for county in multivariate analyses.

Each year, US children aged 6 to 59 months experience high rates of hospitalizations, ED visits, and outpatient visits due to influenza. Despite this, we were unable across 3 large communities to demonstrate that influenza vaccination was effective in preventing influenza-related inpatient/ED visits or outpatient visits during 2 consecutive seasons (2003-2004 and 2004-2005) among 6- to 23-month-olds, 24- to 59-month-olds, or the entire age span. The case-cohort study design has important limitations in being able to annually assess influenza VE. Our experience suggests that the case-cohort design is inefficient and may insufficiently account for important factors, such as propensity to seek care. Further studies of influenza VE are needed using a variety of study designs (that adjust for confounders) to assess the yearly impact of influenza vaccination programs for children, particularly as higher rates of vaccination are achieved in the study population.

Correspondence: Peter G. Szilagyi, MD, MPH, Box 777, Strong Memorial Hospital, 601 Elmwood Ave, Rochester, NY 14642 (peter_szilagyi@urmc.rochester.edu).

Accepted for Publication: February 27, 2008.

Author Contributions: All authors had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Study concept and design: Szilagyi, Griffin, Morrow, Altaye, Ambrose, Poehling, Lofthus, Iwane, and Staat. Acquisition of data: Szilagyi, Fairbrother, Griffin, Ambrose, Lofthus, Holloway, and Staat. Analysis and interpretation of data: Szilagyi, Fairbrother, Hornung, Donauer, Zhu, Edwards, Finelli, Iwane, and Staat. Drafting of the manuscript: Szilagyi, Fairbrother, Hornung, and Finelli. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Szilagyi, Griffin, Hornung, Donauer, Morrow, Altaye, Zhu, Ambrose, Edwards, Poehling, Lofthus, Holloway, Finelli, Iwane, and Staat. Statistical analysis: Szilagyi, Hornung, Morrow, Zhu, and Iwane. Obtained funding: Szilagyi, Morrow, Altaye, Edwards, Finelli, Iwane, and Staat. Administrative, technical, and material support: Szilagyi, Morrow, Ambrose, Holloway, Finelli, and Iwane. Study supervision: Szilagyi, Fairbrother, Griffin, Lofthus, and Holloway.

Financial Disclosure: None reported.

Funding/Support: This work was funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention as part of the New Vaccine Surveillance Network (cooperative agreements: Rochester, UO1 IP000017 and U38CCU217969; Vanderbilt, U01IP000022 and U38CCU417958; Cincinnati, U01IP000147) and the National Vaccine Program Office, and some subjects in Cincinnati, Ohio, were recruited through a study funded by QuickVue Influenza Test (Quidel Corp, San Diego, California).

Previous Presentations: This work was presented in part at the annual meeting of the Pediatric Academic Societies; May 5, 2007; Toronto, Ontario, Canada, and the Options for the Control of Influenza conference; July 2007; Toronto.

Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Additional Contributions: We gratefully acknowledge the help of the primary care practices in all 3 communities who participated in the study, as well as the following individuals: Nashville, Tennessee: Diane Kent, RN, Carol A. Clay, RN, Mariah Daly, RN, and Erin Keckley, RN; Rochester, New York: Caroline Hall, MD, Geoffrey Weinberg, MD, and Kenneth Schnabel, PhD; Cincinnati, Ohio: Meredith Tabangin, MPH, Linda Jamison, RN, BSN, CIC, Shannon Hiratzka, MPH, and Diana Henderson, MPH, MSW; and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia: Carolyn B. Bridges, MD, Ranee Seither, MPH, Aaron Curns, MPH, Cedric Brown, MS, Alexander Klimov, PhD, and Haley Clayton, MPH. Drs Hall, Weinberg, and Bridges and Richard Barth, BA, contributed to the conception and design of the study. Mss Kent, Clay, Daly, Keckley, and Jamison, Mr Barth, and Dr Schnabel contributed to the acquisition of data. Mss Tabangin, Hiratzka, Henderson, Bridges, Seither, and Clayton and Messrs Curns and Brown contributed to the analysis and interpretation of data. Drs Schnabel and Klimov contributed to laboratory analyses. We also thank members of the study teams at all sites.

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Jefferson  TSmith  SDemicheli  VHarnden  ARivetti  ADi Pietrantonj  C Assessment of the efficacy and effectiveness of influenza vaccines in healthy children: systematic review. Lancet 2005;365 (9461) 773- 780
PubMed
Kramarz  PDeStefano  FGargiullo  PM  et al.  Influenza vaccination in children with asthma in health maintenance organizations: Vaccine Safety Datalink Team. Vaccine 2000;18 (21) 2288- 2294
PubMed
Chung  EKCasey  RPinto-Martin  JAPawlowski  NABell  LM Routine and influenza vaccination rates in children with asthma. Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol 1998;80 (4) 318- 322
PubMed
Kawai  NIkematsu  HIwaki  N  et al.  A prospective, Internet-based study of the effectiveness and safety of influenza vaccination in the 2001-2002 influenza season. Vaccine 2003;21 (31) 4507- 4513
PubMed
Ritzwoller  DPBridges  CBShetterly  SYamasaki  KKolczak  MFrance  EK Effectiveness of the 2003-2004 influenza vaccine among children 6 months to 8 years of age, with 1 vs 2 doses. Pediatrics 2005;116 (1) 153- 159
PubMed
Halloran  MELongini  IM  JrGaglani  MJ  et al.  Estimating efficacy of trivalent, cold-adapted, influenza virus vaccine (CAIV-T) against influenza A (H1N1) and B using surveillance cultures. Am J Epidemiol 2003;158 (4) 305- 311
PubMed
Allison  MADaley  MFCrane  LA  et al.  Influenza vaccine effectiveness in healthy 6- to 21-month-old children during the 2003-2004 season. J Pediatr 2006;149 (6) 755- 762
PubMed
Shuler  CMIwamoto  MBridges  CB  et al.  Vaccine effectiveness against medically attended, laboratory-confirmed influenza among children aged 6 to 59 months, 2003-2004. Pediatrics 2007;119 (3) e587- e595http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/content/full/119/3/e587
PubMed
 New Vaccine Surveillance Network. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Web site. http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/stats-surv/nvsn/default.htm. Accessed December 11, 2007
Szilagyi  PGIwane  MKSchaffer  S  et al.  Potential burden of universal influenza vaccination of young children on visits to primary care practices. Pediatrics 2003;112 (4) 821- 828
PubMed
Szilagyi  PGIwane  MKHumiston  SG  et al.  Time spent by primary care practices on pediatric influenza vaccination visits: implications for universal influenza vaccination. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med 2003;157 (2) 191- 195
PubMed
Poehling  KASzilagyi  PGEdwards  K  et al.  Streptococcus pneumoniae-related illnesses in young children: secular trends and regional variation. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2003;22 (5) 413- 418
PubMed
Poehling  KALafleur  BJSzilagyi  PG  et al.  Population-based impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in young children. Pediatrics 2004;114 (3) 755- 761
PubMed
Humiston  SGSzilagyi  PGIwane  MK  et al.  The feasibility of universal influenza vaccination for infants and toddlers. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med 2004;158 (9) 867- 874
PubMed
Barlow  WEIchikawa  LRosner  DIzumi  S Analysis of case-cohort designs. J Clin Epidemiol 1999;52 (12) 1165- 1172
PubMed
Borgan  OLangholz  BSamuelsen  SOGoldstein  LPogoda  J Exposure stratified case-cohort designs. Lifetime Data Anal 2000;6 (1) 39- 58
PubMed
Moulton  LHChung  SCroll  JReid  RWeatherholz  RCSantosham  M Estimation of the indirect effect of Haemophilus influenzae type B conjugate vaccine in an American Indian population. Int J Epidemiol 2000;29 (4) 753- 756
PubMed
Iyer  SBGerber  MAPomerantz  WJMortensen  JERuddy  RM Effect of point-of-care influenza testing on management of febrile children [published online November 1, 2006]. Acad Emerg Med 2006;13 (12) 1259- 1268
PubMed
Weinberg  GAErdman  DDEdwards  KM  et al.  Superiority of reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction to conventional viral culture in the diagnosis of acute respiratory tract infections in children. J Infect Dis 2004;189 (4) 706- 710
PubMed
Szilagyi  PGSchaffer  SShone  L  et al.  Reducing geographic, racial, and ethnic disparities in childhood immunization rates by using reminder/recall interventions in urban primary care practices. Pediatrics 2002;110 (5) e58http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/content/full/110/5/e58
PubMed
Szilagyi  PGGriffin  MRShone  LP  et al.  New Vaccine Surveillance Network: the impact of conjugate pneumococcal vaccination on routine childhood vaccination and primary care use in 2 counties. Pediatrics 2006;118 (4) 1394- 1402
PubMed
American Academy of Pediatrics, Influenza. Pickering  LKRed Book: Report of the Committee on Infectious Diseases. Elk Grove Village, IL American Academy of Pediatrics2003;388
Prentice  RL A case-cohort design for epidemiologic cohort studies and disease prevention trials. Biometrika 1986;73 (1) 1- 11
Binder  DA Fitting Cox's proportional hazards models from survey data. Biometrika Trust 1992;79139- 147
Lu  SEShih  JH Case-cohort designs and analysis for clustered failure time data. Biometrics 2006;62 (4) 1138- 1148
PubMed
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Update: influenza activity—United States and worldwide, 2003-04 season, and composition of the 2004-05 influenza vaccine. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2004;53 (25) 547- 552
PubMed
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Update: influenza activity—United States and worldwide, 2004-05 season. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2005;54 (25) 631- 634
PubMed
Ohmit  SEVictor  JCRotthoff  JR  et al.  Prevention of antigenically drifted influenza by inactivated and live attenuated vaccines. N Engl J Med 2006;355 (24) 2513- 2522
PubMed
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Pneumonia and influenza mortality for 122 US cities: week ending 1/22/07. http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2007-2008/bigpi45.htm. Accessed January 30, 2008
Jackson  LAJackson  MLNelson  JCNeuzil  KMWeiss  NS Evidence of bias in estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness in seniors. Int J Epidemiol 2006;35 (2) 337- 344
PubMed
Eisenberg  EWSzilagyi  PGFairbrother  G  et al.  Vaccine effectiveness against laboratory-confirmed influenza in children 6 to 59 months of age during the 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 influenza seasons. Pediatrics In press
Belshe  RBEdwards  KMVesikari  T  et al. CAIV-T Comparative Efficacy Study Group, Live attenuated versus inactivated influenza vaccine in infants and young children. N Engl J Med 2007;356 (7) 685- 696
PubMed
Cox  NJBridges  CB Inactivated and live attenuated influenza vaccines in young children–how do they compare? N Engl J Med 2007;356 (7) 729- 731
PubMed
Piedra  PAGaglani  MKozinetz  C  et al.  Trivalent live attenuated intranasal influenza vaccine administered during the 2003-2004 influenza type A (H3N2) outbreak provided immediate, direct, and indirect protection in children. Pediatrics 2007;120 (3) e553- e564http://pediatrics.aapublications.org/cgi/content/full/120/3/e553
PubMed
Chevarley  FMOwens  PLZodet  MWSimpson  LA McCormick  MCDougherty  D Health care for children and youth in the United States: annual report on patterns of coverage, utilization, quality, and expenditures by a county level of urban influence. Ambul Pediatr 2006;6 (5) 241- 264
PubMed
Owens  PLZodet  MWBerdahl  TDougherty  D McCormick  MCSimpson  LA Annual report on health care for children and youth in the United States: focus on injury-related emergency department utilization and expenditures. Ambul Pediatr 2008;8 (4) 219- 240.e17
PubMed

Figures

Place holder to copy figure label and caption
Figure.

Study design. Method for identifying cases and subcohort controls. *The same primary care practices were used for cases and subcohort within each county and year. ED indicates emergency department; ARI, acute respiratory illness.

Graphic Jump Location

Tables

Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 1. Demographic Characteristics of Subjects for Seasons 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 Combineda
Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 2. Influenza Vaccination Status for Children During Seasons 2003-2004 and 2004-2005a
Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 3. Inpatient/ED: VE Using Multivariate Cox Regression to Estimate Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza-Related Visits by Vaccination Status, Age Group, and Influenza Seasona
Table Graphic Jump LocationTable 4. Outpatient: VE Using Multivariate Cox Regression to Estimate Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza-Related Visits by Vaccination Status, Age Group, and Influenza Seasona

References

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Harper  SAFukuda  KUyeki  TMCox  NJBridges  CBCenters for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), Prevention and control of influenza: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) [published correction appears in MMWR Recomm Rep. 2004;53(32):743]. MMWR Recomm Rep 2004;53 (RR-6) 1- 40
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Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices,Smith  NMBresee  JSShay  DKUyeki  TMCox  NJStrikas  RA Prevention and control of influenza: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) [published correction appears in MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2006;55(29):800]. MMWR Recomm Rep 2006;55 (RR-10) 1- 42
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Boyer  KMCherry  JDWright  PF  et al.  Clinical reactions and serologic responses in healthy children aged six to 35 months after two-dose regimens of inactivated A/New Jersey/76 influenza virus vaccines. J Infect Dis 1977;136 ((suppl)) S579- S583
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Gonzalez  MPirez  MCWard  EDibarboure  HGarcia  APicolet  H Safety and immunogenicity of a paediatric presentation of an influenza vaccine. Arch Dis Child 2000;83 (6) 488- 491
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Hoberman  AGreenberg  DPParadise  JL  et al.  Effectiveness of inactivated influenza vaccine in preventing acute otitis media in young children: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA 2003;290 (12) 1608- 1616
PubMed
Englund  JAWalter  EBFairchok  MPMonto  ASNeuzil  KM A comparison of 2 influenza vaccine schedules in 6- to 23-month-old children. Pediatrics 2005;115 (4) 1039- 1047
PubMed
Zangwill  KMBelshe  RB Safety and efficacy of trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine in young children: a summary for the new era of routine vaccination. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2004;23 (3) 189- 197
PubMed
Jefferson  TSmith  SDemicheli  VHarnden  ARivetti  ADi Pietrantonj  C Assessment of the efficacy and effectiveness of influenza vaccines in healthy children: systematic review. Lancet 2005;365 (9461) 773- 780
PubMed
Kramarz  PDeStefano  FGargiullo  PM  et al.  Influenza vaccination in children with asthma in health maintenance organizations: Vaccine Safety Datalink Team. Vaccine 2000;18 (21) 2288- 2294
PubMed
Chung  EKCasey  RPinto-Martin  JAPawlowski  NABell  LM Routine and influenza vaccination rates in children with asthma. Ann Allergy Asthma Immunol 1998;80 (4) 318- 322
PubMed
Kawai  NIkematsu  HIwaki  N  et al.  A prospective, Internet-based study of the effectiveness and safety of influenza vaccination in the 2001-2002 influenza season. Vaccine 2003;21 (31) 4507- 4513
PubMed
Ritzwoller  DPBridges  CBShetterly  SYamasaki  KKolczak  MFrance  EK Effectiveness of the 2003-2004 influenza vaccine among children 6 months to 8 years of age, with 1 vs 2 doses. Pediatrics 2005;116 (1) 153- 159
PubMed
Halloran  MELongini  IM  JrGaglani  MJ  et al.  Estimating efficacy of trivalent, cold-adapted, influenza virus vaccine (CAIV-T) against influenza A (H1N1) and B using surveillance cultures. Am J Epidemiol 2003;158 (4) 305- 311
PubMed
Allison  MADaley  MFCrane  LA  et al.  Influenza vaccine effectiveness in healthy 6- to 21-month-old children during the 2003-2004 season. J Pediatr 2006;149 (6) 755- 762
PubMed
Shuler  CMIwamoto  MBridges  CB  et al.  Vaccine effectiveness against medically attended, laboratory-confirmed influenza among children aged 6 to 59 months, 2003-2004. Pediatrics 2007;119 (3) e587- e595http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/content/full/119/3/e587
PubMed
 New Vaccine Surveillance Network. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Web site. http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/stats-surv/nvsn/default.htm. Accessed December 11, 2007
Szilagyi  PGIwane  MKSchaffer  S  et al.  Potential burden of universal influenza vaccination of young children on visits to primary care practices. Pediatrics 2003;112 (4) 821- 828
PubMed
Szilagyi  PGIwane  MKHumiston  SG  et al.  Time spent by primary care practices on pediatric influenza vaccination visits: implications for universal influenza vaccination. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med 2003;157 (2) 191- 195
PubMed
Poehling  KASzilagyi  PGEdwards  K  et al.  Streptococcus pneumoniae-related illnesses in young children: secular trends and regional variation. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2003;22 (5) 413- 418
PubMed
Poehling  KALafleur  BJSzilagyi  PG  et al.  Population-based impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in young children. Pediatrics 2004;114 (3) 755- 761
PubMed
Humiston  SGSzilagyi  PGIwane  MK  et al.  The feasibility of universal influenza vaccination for infants and toddlers. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med 2004;158 (9) 867- 874
PubMed
Barlow  WEIchikawa  LRosner  DIzumi  S Analysis of case-cohort designs. J Clin Epidemiol 1999;52 (12) 1165- 1172
PubMed
Borgan  OLangholz  BSamuelsen  SOGoldstein  LPogoda  J Exposure stratified case-cohort designs. Lifetime Data Anal 2000;6 (1) 39- 58
PubMed
Moulton  LHChung  SCroll  JReid  RWeatherholz  RCSantosham  M Estimation of the indirect effect of Haemophilus influenzae type B conjugate vaccine in an American Indian population. Int J Epidemiol 2000;29 (4) 753- 756
PubMed
Iyer  SBGerber  MAPomerantz  WJMortensen  JERuddy  RM Effect of point-of-care influenza testing on management of febrile children [published online November 1, 2006]. Acad Emerg Med 2006;13 (12) 1259- 1268
PubMed
Weinberg  GAErdman  DDEdwards  KM  et al.  Superiority of reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction to conventional viral culture in the diagnosis of acute respiratory tract infections in children. J Infect Dis 2004;189 (4) 706- 710
PubMed
Szilagyi  PGSchaffer  SShone  L  et al.  Reducing geographic, racial, and ethnic disparities in childhood immunization rates by using reminder/recall interventions in urban primary care practices. Pediatrics 2002;110 (5) e58http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/content/full/110/5/e58
PubMed
Szilagyi  PGGriffin  MRShone  LP  et al.  New Vaccine Surveillance Network: the impact of conjugate pneumococcal vaccination on routine childhood vaccination and primary care use in 2 counties. Pediatrics 2006;118 (4) 1394- 1402
PubMed
American Academy of Pediatrics, Influenza. Pickering  LKRed Book: Report of the Committee on Infectious Diseases. Elk Grove Village, IL American Academy of Pediatrics2003;388
Prentice  RL A case-cohort design for epidemiologic cohort studies and disease prevention trials. Biometrika 1986;73 (1) 1- 11
Binder  DA Fitting Cox's proportional hazards models from survey data. Biometrika Trust 1992;79139- 147
Lu  SEShih  JH Case-cohort designs and analysis for clustered failure time data. Biometrics 2006;62 (4) 1138- 1148
PubMed
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Update: influenza activity—United States and worldwide, 2003-04 season, and composition of the 2004-05 influenza vaccine. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2004;53 (25) 547- 552
PubMed
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Update: influenza activity—United States and worldwide, 2004-05 season. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2005;54 (25) 631- 634
PubMed
Ohmit  SEVictor  JCRotthoff  JR  et al.  Prevention of antigenically drifted influenza by inactivated and live attenuated vaccines. N Engl J Med 2006;355 (24) 2513- 2522
PubMed
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Pneumonia and influenza mortality for 122 US cities: week ending 1/22/07. http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2007-2008/bigpi45.htm. Accessed January 30, 2008
Jackson  LAJackson  MLNelson  JCNeuzil  KMWeiss  NS Evidence of bias in estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness in seniors. Int J Epidemiol 2006;35 (2) 337- 344
PubMed
Eisenberg  EWSzilagyi  PGFairbrother  G  et al.  Vaccine effectiveness against laboratory-confirmed influenza in children 6 to 59 months of age during the 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 influenza seasons. Pediatrics In press
Belshe  RBEdwards  KMVesikari  T  et al. CAIV-T Comparative Efficacy Study Group, Live attenuated versus inactivated influenza vaccine in infants and young children. N Engl J Med 2007;356 (7) 685- 696
PubMed
Cox  NJBridges  CB Inactivated and live attenuated influenza vaccines in young children–how do they compare? N Engl J Med 2007;356 (7) 729- 731
PubMed
Piedra  PAGaglani  MKozinetz  C  et al.  Trivalent live attenuated intranasal influenza vaccine administered during the 2003-2004 influenza type A (H3N2) outbreak provided immediate, direct, and indirect protection in children. Pediatrics 2007;120 (3) e553- e564http://pediatrics.aapublications.org/cgi/content/full/120/3/e553
PubMed
Chevarley  FMOwens  PLZodet  MWSimpson  LA McCormick  MCDougherty  D Health care for children and youth in the United States: annual report on patterns of coverage, utilization, quality, and expenditures by a county level of urban influence. Ambul Pediatr 2006;6 (5) 241- 264
PubMed
Owens  PLZodet  MWBerdahl  TDougherty  D McCormick  MCSimpson  LA Annual report on health care for children and youth in the United States: focus on injury-related emergency department utilization and expenditures. Ambul Pediatr 2008;8 (4) 219- 240.e17
PubMed

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